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Inganda zimpapuro zizatera imbere mugukiza byoroheje muri 2024

Dutegereje 2024, twizera ko icyifuzo cy'inganda giteganijwe gukomeza umuvuduko muke wo gukira, impanvu yo kurekura ubushobozi muri rusange iri hafi kurangira, ikiguzi cy'ibiti biva mu biti, impapuro zangiza, ibiciro by'amakara ahanini ni ihindagurika rito. , kandi inyungu zinganda ziteganijwe gusanwa byimazeyo.

 

Inganda zimpapuro zizwi nka "barometero yo gukoresha", hamwe nogusubirana kwambere aho ibicuruzwa byakoreshejwe no gutembera kwabantu, iterambere ryimpapuro zumuco ryaragaruwe cyane, ubwinshi bwambere, igiciro ninyungu byazamutse cyane, icyifuzo cyo gupfunyika impapuro nimpapuro zidasanzwe nacyo gikurikira ibicuruzwa bifatika bifite isanwa rito mumibare mike, ibiciro byibicuruzwa 2023 ninyungu nabyo byateye imbere cyane. Dutegereje 2024, biteganijwe ko zeru izakomeza kubaho mu buryo bushyize mu gaciro, gukenera impapuro z'umuco bizagenda byiyongera, kandi icyifuzo cyo gupfunyika impapuro (impapuro zanditseho agasanduku, ikarita yera) n'impapuro zidasanzwe kizakomeza gukira muri imibare hagati. Tugomba gusa gutegereza itangwa nibisabwa kugirango dusubire kuringaniza.

 

Kugeza ubu, inganda z’impapuro ziri ku musozo w’icyiciro gishya cyo kwaguka (giterwa n’impanuka yo mu mwaka wa 2020-21, hamwe n’impungenge z’inganda ku bijyanye n’ingorabahizi zo kwaguka nyuma ya politiki ikaze ya “karuboni ebyiri”). Kwagura ubushobozi byibanze muri 2022-23 (agasanduku k'isanduku yanditswemo impapuro nazo zitanga impanuka zingana na 50% by'impapuro zitumizwa mu mahanga). Muri 2024, turateganya gutanga no gukenera impapuro zumuco hamwe nimpapuro zidasanzwe zoroshye cyane, kandi ubushobozi bushya bwo gukora bwibisanduku byanditseho impapuro, amakarito yera hamwe nimpapuro zidasanzwe bizakomeza kuba hagati yimibare imwe. , kandi itangwa nibisabwa biterwa no kunoza ibyifuzo. Icyakora, duhereye kuri gahunda ihari y’umusaruro, turateganya ko igitutu cy’ubushobozi bushya bw’umusaruro kizagabanuka cyane mu 2025-26, nko gusaba kwihutisha gusana, inganda rusange zitanga n’ibisabwa biteganijwe ko zizagaruka ku gipimo gito hakiri kare. . Byongeye kandi, inganda zikora impapuro zizinjira mugihe cyo gusarura, igiciro cyacyo kuva "roller coaster" kugirango kigende neza, biganisha ku buryo butandukanye + bwo kwishyira hamwe mugihe cyo gusarura. Bitewe no kwivuguruza hagati y’ibitangwa n’ibisabwa, inyungu y’inganda z’impapuro mu 2022 yahuye n’ikurwaho ry’ibiciro by’amakara n’amafaranga, kandi igiciro cy’ibikoresho fatizo cyaragabanutse cyane mu 2023, kandi irushanwa ry’ibiciro ry’impapuro fatizo ryarushijeho kwiyongera, bituma. igihombo cyinyungu zinganda. Ibibazo byugarije uruhande rwibiciro byinganda biteganijwe ko bizoroha cyane mumwaka wa 2024: turateganya ko ibiciro bya pulp bizakomeza guhindagurika hafi $ 600 / toni, n’ibiciro by’impapuro bikomeza kugabanuka, bikaba biteganijwe ko bizashyigikira kuzamuka muri rusange mu buryo bworoheje. amafaranga yinjira mu nganda. Byongeye kandi, mu rwego rwo koroshya ihindagurika ry’ibiciro, imbaraga nyinshi zambere zoguteza imbere ibicuruzwa bitandukanye, murwego rwo hejuru, kuruhande rumwe, biteza imbere cyane guhuza amashyamba yimiterere nimpapuro, 2023 kugeza 2024, ibicuruzwa bitandukanye nibiti byakorewe murugo pulp yibi bigo biteganijwe ko izinjira mugihe cyisarura, turateganya kongera umutekano wikigo hamwe niterambere ryiterambere.

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Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-11-2023